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Reply to "Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]So for anyone actually wanting a real picture and not some blue cheerleading echo chamber from the NYT Battlestates (Remember the only states that matter) Michigan + 6 (This looks like it will flip back to Blue) Arizona + 4 (Can see this flipping but still pretty close) NH +3 PA +2.1 (Ds need this to win within margin of error) WI +1.1 (True tossup) FL -1 (Has been razor thin R but consistent for the past several major election if Trump loses he is done) TX -2.2 (If Trump loses TX he's done Biden will need to do better among hispanic voters to have any real chance) IA, OH will be Red NV, NC tossup So updating that overly optimistic Map from earlier R Solid 232 D Solid 242 Remaining toss-ups PA 20 NC 15 AZ 11 WI 10 NV 6 ME district 1 NE district 1 Easiest path for Ds is PA which takes the total to 262 and then just one more state (take AZ) Regardless this thing is going to be close, national polls mean nothing, likely voters matter, registered voters don't[/quote] Someone is calling Nevada a tossup?[/quote]
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