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Reply to "How are your Aug-Dec kids doing re:offers?"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]With teams now formed at my kid's club, I can report that they tended to mostly move kids to their new age groups and keep them in their tier, doing almost no moving the older kids up a tier. Even with outside kids trying out, they only looked at kids for their same league tier. This next couple years will be very interesting as an RAE case study, as at least in two age groups I know, the top teams are going from extremely overweight (~75%) to extremely underweight (~15%) kids with birthdays in the first 5 months of the group (middle school groups). [/quote] You’re saying that the two teams you know were heavily weighted towards Jan to May but are not now heavily weighted to August to December and they are middle school ages? That wouldn’t be surprising in RAE terms bc the Jan to May cohort has several years of being “advantaged” now and the effects are dynamic/feedback. Would be interesting to compare the birth month distribution in the first year or two of u-little where there shouldn’t be a historically accrued advantage. Some stats person should have a field day with thus.[/quote] Yes, our club is implicitly taking the view that by middle school the age advantages have been locked in. If some other clubs race to grab all the new oldest kids, embracing more of a shuffle, we should be able to tell which is right for the purpose of winning, assuming one or the other will move up/down in relative standings in their leagues. From what I saw at tryouts and practices, there was a lot of overlap between top B team players from the year above with the bottom half of A team from the year below. With neither of the two groups being easy to identify as "better," they went with "status quo." [/quote]
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