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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]See above - [b]last year at noon turnout was at 51%[/b]

[twitter]https://x.com/fairfaxvotes/status/1853860727813009709[/twitter]

[/quote]

Are you talking about 2023, and not 2020? We're definitely lagging compared to 2020, but that' because something like 53% of the votes were banked through EV during the pandemic year.[/quote]

They need to hit 79% to match 2020 turnout. If 18.7% have voted today through 12:30 pm, that's 2.87% of the total per hour (18.7%/6.5 hours). That would mean another 18.7% through 7 pm if the same number of voters vote for the rest of the day. [/quote]

This means Fairfax country votes will likely be down.  Big trouble for Harris [/quote]

How do you figure? 61.7 (% of votes as of 12:30) + 18.7 (assumed turnout between 12:30 - 7:00 PM) = 80.4%. That would be  higher than the turnout in 2020, when it was 79.4%

However, the number of RV in FFX County is about 16000 fewer than it was in 2020, so to have the same number of voters turn out, turnout needs to be about 81.4%.[/quote]

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