Reply to MCPS Officially announces schools opening as planned

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I did some quick calculations for my kid's school and nearby schools (some with wildly different demographics) and I'm getting that the % is already around 2-3% for most of them. Although older cases will drop off, there will also be more testing-- not to mention spread in and out of schools-- so I feel validated in my decision not to send my kid tomorrow.

It seems highly likely, as I predicted, that schools will hit that "5%" (higher in reality) in a week or less and go virtual anyway. [/quote]

[b]How so? Are cases by school listed somewhere? The dashboard hasn’t been updated.[/b][b]

On a systemwide basis, the number of reported cases falls well short of the pace necessary to hit 5% in 14 days. (Averaging 369 cases per day over break compared to 643/day necessary)

Obviously seem schools will be higher than others, but I don't think you can accurately extrapolate off of previously reported cases.[/quote]

Yes. Here's where cases are listed by school:

https://www.montgomeryschoolsmd.org/uploadedFiles/Coronavirus/Winter%20Break%20COVID%20Cases%20Reported%20Through%2010%20pm%20January%201%202022.pdf

I wasn't looking at the dashboard. This link was in the email/text MCPS just sent out an hour or two ago.

I don't follow your numbers here anyway and would be interested in your explanation. Daily cases will very likely increase quite quickly from those reported at break for a number of reasons-- increased access to testing/in-school testing in addition to increased spread in the community and in schools, which is inevitable to SOME degree. People going back to work in larger numbers and back to school inevitably leads to increased spread within MoCo communities. But the access to testing and understanding of how/when/why to report positives will most definitely increase as well.

I don't think you can say that we needed X cases a day during break in order to hit 5% by... 2 weeks from tomorrow? Not with any certainty about what X MUST be. But I'm open to hearing more.[/quote]

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