Reply to GA & MLS NEXT Form Strategic Alliance

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Same freak responded 3x lol.

Look up how many teams have mls next and ECNL. Look up how many teams have GA and ECNL. I’ll let your mind do the rest of the work.

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Now I'm confused. Say what?

Only club around here that already has MLSN and GA together is everyones favorite SYC. Does this make them more stable and prepared for the long haul? Or does it not matter because nobody actually wants this combo because the MLSN and ECNL combo u=is preferred? Does it mattter, I don't  think it does but if you are trying to integrate training and methodologies and want to give players cross training opportunities at all levels. I"m no genius but one combo does make more sense if they are already partnered.[/quote]

In the past one could say that girls ECNL was better than GA and that MLSN was better than boys ECNL…

This alliance now makes GA/MLSN = ECNL…possibly better if it becomes the only path to the pros.. you see there…

You can no longer just compare ECNL to GA. You will have to compare ECNL to the Alliance[/quote]

The main path to NWSL for youth players has been ECNL. Hard to see that changing anytime soon. MLSNext is a boys league[/quote]
No, the main path to NWSL has been college. ECNL is the main path to college. There is no special link between ECNL and NWSL. I think that's the open space here to provide an alternative path to NWSL that isn't just college.[/quote]

Correctomundo. And those that don’t go to NWSL still go to college[/quote]

I think the bigger point here isn’t ECNL to College, but rather Youth to Pro on the girls side. If you don’t see that wave coming, you’re blind.

ECNL just doubled down on Youth to College.
The NCAA is doubling down on chaos. And GA just placed its bet on Youth to Pro. If you can’t see that, you’re blind.

GA’s bet looks like a risky one, but it isn’t, because of the pot odds, it’s actually very savvy and has a tremendous EV for very little wagered.

ECNL however basically just put their future in the hands of a newly unstable bipolar scratch ticket addict (the NCAA). Their bet looks like “business as usual” but the payoff of business as usual is linear and low payoff, so they made a huge bet on a small payoff. Sounds smart, but it’s closer to a coin flip than a sure thing, so it’s actually a pretty bad bet, with a negative EV because of the bet size.

ECNL is suffering from the innovators dilemma. Whereas GA has little to lose at trying new things.
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Fine to be called blind but I really do not think there is a market for Youth to Pro on the girls side.  No market at all.  Sure you could fill the seats but at least half if not more of the top girls would stay on the Youth to College path.  NCAA is not all that unstable when you go outside of revenue sports.  Actually doing fine.

But there is a bigger problem with your analysis.  GA did not place a bet on Youth to Pro.  What they did was enter into an agreement that paves the way for future work and agreements.  The GA Youth to Pro is at best 3-5 years in the future and will take 3-5 years to get off the ground is MLS acadamies are a guide.  6-10 years is a long time.  I agreee you have to start somewhere and this may be the start.

If the top GA teams leave this year -- GA dies.  [/quote]

Agree to disagree on youth to pro for the girls side. I think debates can be had as to it not being lucrative and therefore not worthwhile for “my” daughter. But it’s absolutely happening, in NWSL and Europe. Europe will be where it really takes off though.

As for the 3-5 years for GA to lay the foundation, you’re not wrong. And the announcement was the beginning of that, hence playing their bet. ECNL will be 2 years before the SY shift, so it’s all very much inline.

I do quibble with your analysis of no chaos in the non-revenue sports. I see the exact opposite. The revenue sports are catching the headlines and making the waves and bringing change, but all of those changes affect revenue sports differently than non-revenue. And on the bias, non-revenue is always  negatively affected. I appears that in the near future many schools will begin dropping non-revenue sports, some already have started. What does ECNL do when universities move their soccer into D3, but keep their revenue sports in D1? What does ECNL do when schools drop their soccer programs? What does ECNL do when there are fewer scholarships in soccer because schools chose to not offer them? What does ECNL do when they’re no longer placing kids into schools with at least their first year covered, but instead placing them into a semester, in a sport increasingly dominated by upper classmen from the transfer portal? [/quote]

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