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Reply to "Here is why we should close schools now."
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous] I have been wondering about this. I haven't scene one shred of evidence that closing schools will slow spread. Just because Italy is doing that, doesn't mean it works. Where's the science on this?[/quote] China Singapore Hong Kong Taiwan (just reopened) Japan Italy Iran UAE Saudi Arabia so far... might have missed some https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17684187 [quote] Nonpharmaceutical interventions implemented by US cities during the 1918-1919 influenza pandemic. RESULTS: There were 115,340 excess pneumonia and influenza deaths (EDR, 500/100,000 population) in the 43 cities during the 24 weeks analyzed. Every city adopted at least 1 of the 3 major categories of nonpharmaceutical interventions. School closure and public gathering bans activated concurrently represented the most common combination implemented in 34 cities (79%); this combination had a median duration of 4 weeks (range, 1-10 weeks) and was significantly associated with reductions in weekly EDR. The cities that implemented nonpharmaceutical interventions earlier had greater delays in reaching peak mortality (Spearman r = -0.74, P < .001), lower peak mortality rates (Spearman r = 0.31, P = .02), and lower total mortality (Spearman r = 0.37, P = .008). There was a statistically significant association between increased duration of nonpharmaceutical interventions and a reduced total mortality burden (Spearman r = -0.39, P = .005). CONCLUSIONS: These findings demonstrate a strong association between early, sustained, and layered application of nonpharmaceutical interventions and mitigating the consequences of the 1918-1919 influenza pandemic in the United States. In planning for future severe influenza pandemics, nonpharmaceutical interventions should be considered for inclusion as companion measures to developing effective vaccines and medications for prophylaxis and treatment.[/quote] links to other studies here https://www.cdc.gov/nonpharmaceutical-interventions/tools-resources/published-research.html [/quote] The Palestine Authority also closed all schools and universities.[/quote]
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