Reply to Early Predictions 2028: AOC, Whitmer, Newsome or …?

Forum Index » Political Discussion

Reply to "Early Predictions 2028: AOC, Whitmer, Newsome or …?"

Subject:

Emoticons





More smilies

Text Color: Font: Close Marks

[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]As PP mentioned, it will be Rubio, not JD Vance who you have to contend with in 2028. And no one mentioned in this thread is that strong vs Rubio, especially in states like AZ, VA, and GA. People in VA and GA do not like Trump because of his personality; his “tell it like it is” boorishness plays better in the Blue Wall, not in the more mannered South, especially in the suburbs. Rubio doesn’t have that problem. Pair him with someone like Tulsi, another relatively young POC who’s a woman with appeal to independents and type of people who vote D but like RFK Jr and listen to Rogan, and Rubio will be very tough to beat. Dems need to remember that they should run really fast away from whoever inside the Beltway pols are  routing for because the rest of the country won’t like them. [/quote]

You're forgetting one thing. Just like Vance, Pence, Harris, Mondale... Rubio is currently and will presumably still be working in the Administration of a very unpopular POTUS in 2028. History tells us, for those that care enough to pay attention, people associated with very unpopular presidents have zero chance of winning a POTUS election themselves; especially when that unpopular POTUS is the current sitting POTUS.

Even if you weren't aware of this history, it's basic common sense. Swing voters in swing states are always sold on the message of change. When the sitting POTUS has a 40% job approval rating, there is absolutely zero chance of enough of these swing voters in swing states jumping on board with someone associated with that POTUS based on their promise of "change". This is why Harris had zero chance of winning in 2024. This is why Vance's political career will be over in January 2029. This is why Pence's political career is over. This is why Mondale got beat 49 states to 1 in 1984.

None of this is rocket science. Think. Read.[/quote]

I bet you thought Trump was finished when said Haitians eat cats. Politics can change very, very fast. If inflation is down, jobs are up, and the S&P is around 7,500-8,000 in 2028, someone like Rubio will be hard to beat. Especially if he’s seen brokering a Ukraine / Russia peace deal before then and no big wars break out.[/quote]

No, it was clear to anyone who pays attention to politics and knows their history that the Dems had zero chance of winning the moment Biden announced he was seeking a second term. Trump could have literally shot someone on 5th Avenue a month before Election day 2024 and he still would have won. Biden could have shot someone on 5th Ave a month before Election Day 2020 and he still would have won. Sitting POTUSs with 40% approval ratings do not win. They lose and the incumbent party typically takes a beating all around the country. These are facts.

If Trump turns things around and becomes a reasonably popular POTUS due to wars ending and economic successes without wrecking and dividing the country further, I'll be very happy and will be glad to then say the GOP does indeed have a chance in 2028. The odds of Trump being as popular as a normal president in 2028 are about the same as the odds of seeing Palestinians and Jews in the ME getting along like peas and carrots during our lifetimes. We should all hope for it but only a fool would bet on it.[/quote]

Options

	Disable HTML in this message
	Disable BB Code in this message
	Disable smilies in this message

Review message

Search Recent Topics Hottest Topics