Reply to Cooking the books: Now 1 in 45 said to have autism in the U.S.

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Reply to "Cooking the books: Now 1 in 45 said to have autism in the U.S."

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]OMG, how dense are you?

The 1 in 45 number is an [b]estimate[/b] and comes from [i]survey of parents[/i].  Part of which had a doctor ever diagnosed your child with autism.

Again, it's finding is similar to a survey that S. Korea found:
"Studies in Asia, Europe, and North America have identified individuals with ASD with an average prevalence of about 1%. A study in South Korea reported a prevalence of 2.6%."
http://www.cdc.gov/ncbddd/developmentaldisabilities/features/birthdefects-dd-keyfindings.html

The 1 in 68 number is also an [b]estimate[/b] and from the following CDC report
http://www.cdc.gov/media/releases/2014/p0327-autism-spectrum-disorder.html

"The surveillance summary report, “Prevalence of Autism Spectrum Disorder among Children Aged 8 Years – Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring Network, 11 Sites, United States, 2010,” was published today in the CDC’s Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report. [b]Researchers reviewed records from community sources that educate, diagnose, treat and/or provide services to children with developmental disabilities.[/b] The criteria used to diagnose ASDs and the methods used to collect data have not changed."

Again both numbers are ESTIMATES not DIAGNOSES.  (So it's possible at one point a parent may have been told this and it turns out the child isn't.)  The CDC is trying to collect helpful data on how many people are diagnosed as autistic and what services they'll utilize.  This is a bit of a moving target, but every time they do a survey it's not some trumped up conspiracy.  No one's "cooking the books."[/quote]

You are missing the point. The issue is not that it is an estimate.  The issue is that the estimate is apparently based on educational disgnoses of autism, which are not the same as medical diagnoses. So no conspiracy, but if autism educational diagnoses are being made incorrectly to access services, then this estimate does show that autism is actually increasing. Do you understand now? [/quote]

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