Reply to Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

Forum Index » DC Public and Public Charter Schools

Reply to "Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions"

Subject:

Emoticons





More smilies

Text Color: Font: Close Marks

[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Thanks for your this community service, Lottery Nerd!

For PK4 with no siblings or inbound preferences:

Mann: #15
Janney: #15
Hearst: #14

I have my suspicions based on my own look at the data, but I really just eyeballed it. [/quote]

LN here:

Mann: #15 - You've got a decent shot here. You would have gotten an offer the last two years, and three of the last five, and two of those five would be by August. So, about 60% shot. 
Janney: #15 - You will get an offer here. They've offered at least 23 seats from the waitlist the past five years. 
Hearst: #14 - Interesting one. So four of the past five years, you would have gotten an offer, and all by the summer. The one exception is - last year, when they only went to #12 AND they had a much longer waitlist. I'm not super familiar with Hearst, but if something changed or is changing, then last year's numbers might [b]weigh[/b] more heavily, but if not, I'd give you 80% odds.

One note about all of these - if any IB students submit a post-lottery application, they'll jump ahead of you, as will any siblings (as always). So that's a definite X factor. But with numbers that good at all three, I'd be SHOCKED if you didn't get in to at least one or two.

Without preferences, you had one damn good lottery number![/quote]

WEIGH not way. Fixed and bolded above. [/quote]

Options

	Disable HTML in this message
	Disable BB Code in this message
	Disable smilies in this message

Review message

Search Recent Topics Hottest Topics