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[quote=Anonymous]Totally understand that getting into Walls involves a lot of luck.

I'm trying to understand to what degree that is, let's call it subjective luck, where people are basing who gets in on your grades and extracurriculars and your recommendations and your essay and your very short interview, and since there are waaaay too many kids with great grades and extracurriculars and recommendations, a lot of it comes down to weird impressions or what happened to connect with that person or some weird class shaping that's totally not transparent. IE - the same kinda luck that gets an unhooked kid into an Ivy, but with a less rigorous process, so the luck factors in even more.

And, to what degree, if at all, your lottery number, true random luck, comes into play. It seems to me that the only way lottery number doesn't contribute to your Walls luck is if the admissions folks not only hand pick the 190 kids who get an offer on results day, but then rank every single one of the 123 kids on their waitlist, (okay, this kid will be #1, this kid will be #2, this kid will be #3, all the way up to 123) and provide that to MySchoolDC so they can manage the waitlist.

Seems more likely and manageable to me that Walls says, okay, here's the 190 kids that definitely get a seat. Then here's the 123 for the waitlist. Reject the rest. And then the waitlist gets ordered by lottery number.

Or maybe they do a few "buckets" - 190 acceptances, then here's 10-20 more that we'd like to be able to offer a seat to, they go on the top of the waitlist. Then here's the next 50 that would work fine. Then here's the next 50 - just in case we have space. Reject everybody else. And then those first 10-20 are ordered by lottery number and then the next 50 are ordered by lottery number, and then the next 50.

I mean, they can't possibly be manually ordering 100+ kids on the waitlist based on qualifications, right? That would be incredibly time intensive. And yet, everyone who isn't outright admitted or rejected gets an actual waitlist number on match day.

Anyone have any knowledge of this?[/quote]

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