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Reply to "Timing the market crash and my tsp"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Market timers almost always lose. Your retirement allocation should be set according to your appetite for risk. Set it and forget it.[/quote] I’m going to time the market and I don’t care. I bought BTCFX earlier this year and have made like $70k on it. I predicted when the housing market crash was going to happen. It doesn’t take a genius to see that the market is at all time highs, is unsustainable, tariffs will restrict growth soon and have market reverberations, values are super high, meme stocks are back, basically I predict we have a continued bull run for awhile, but maybe in the near future (two years or less) we start to see signs of a pull back or even a big recession. Or Powell gets fired. Compliant Fed chief installed, interest rates go down for a while juicing the market, and it overheats, crypto melts down and is so intertwined with the system, yada yada…a recession is coming at some point soon. Mostly from tariff fault out most likely. Anyway, if I start to read news about prolonged (over weeks) downturn I am moving a big portion of my funds into the G fund and the BTCFX in the mutual fund window into a commodities, healthcare or energy fund for an indefinite period of time before moving it back into the C fund when the market has dropped significantly. All you set it and forget it people can do that, that’s fine. I’m more hands on.[/quote] Ok, enjoy the ride. You will almost certainly lose.[/quote]
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