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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The COVID effect is probably going to last at least a decade.  There are a lot of families, like mine, who pulled our kids from public at the start of COVID when our kids were in elementary and middle school who stuck with private through high school and were happy to do so.  Those that opted for private for their kindergarteners who would have otherwise gone public are still in it from the COVID effect so I suspect even with the birth rate decline the schools around here will have a few more years of runway.  I'd be preparing for the next few years if I were a private school, though, making sure I could weather a downturn around 2030.[/quote]

It’s an interesting conversation but it feels like a lot of speculation. Hard numbers are missing for applications, acceptances, and yield.  Several factors can be at play for each individual school and for the region as a whole.  And the Covid effect and birthrate might have very different consequences, depending on the grades served. 
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