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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]It's been said that if Homs falls, Israel will invade in the south to create a buffer zone.[/quote]

This is very bad for the Israelis. I am surprised they have not invaded and crushed the rebels forces. At least make some air strikes on the rebels? Like you say it is a golden opportunity for the Israelis take some territory though the IDF suffered a lot of casualties in Lebanon. [/quote]

Why?  Given Iran is on Assad's side right now, Israel is probably funding the rebels.[/quote]

Israel wants its neighbors to be failed states and lawless. It is much easier to do another Gaza, Lebanon or just bomb civilians every few months in a “failed” states full of “terrorists”. Israel can not let a state emerge from Syria. Syria has 3 times the population of Israel and is in a strategic cross roads in the Middle East. They can not let something like that emerge from that area.

Let’s not forget everyone who shares a border with Israel hates Israel. [/quote]

Everyone seems to put their hands in Syria .
Russia and Iran helping the government.
Turkey supporting the rebels.
I think Israel and USA soft support of rebels.[/quote]

That's changing very quickly. The Russians are presently abandoning their air base and they've sent their ships out to sea. Lebanon has closed all but one border crossing with Syria and Israel is bombing all the supply routes that Iran uses to smuggle weapons to Hezbollah.

Without Russian air power and Hezbollah and Iranian fighters, the Assad regime cannot survive. The Syrian Army is demoralized, poorly trained, and underpaid. It's just conscripts who would like to see tomorrow. Once Homs falls, they will have a few days at most to decide whether to try to defend Damascus or retreat to their natural power base on the coast. Turkey will be the power broker in most of Syria. Assad is done. [b]But it's not at all clear what follows. Syria has only known dictatorships[/b]. Civil society doesn't exist. There are no mechanisms for a change in power in Syria besides brute force. And the "rebels" have so many different interests and benefactors that no one knows how it's all going to shake out. Add in what remains of ISIS and other jihadist groups and the likelihood for chaos is very high.

The velocity of this offensive has taken everyone by surprise.  [/quote]

I’m interested to see how that goes. Maybe there’s some equivalent to the collapse of the USSR? A power vacuum followed by years of chaos and corruption. Not that there isn’t plenty of corruption in Syria now. [/quote]

Israel was benefiting a lot of from that corruption. They were heavily involved in the oil smuggling. It is counterproductive because some of that is Iran oil but money finds way.[/quote]

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