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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]There’s nothing to report. Polls have this thing tied. [/quote]

Maybe, but that has never stopped them in past years. And when you do the map yourself based on polling data, it becomes very clear that Trump has the much easier path to 270 (assuming polls are correct that he will likely get GA, NC, AZ, and NV). Then he only needs to pick up ONE of MI, WI, or PA.

Also remember how in past years it was all about Florida and Ohio. Those are in the bag for Trump this year and they aren’t even campaigning there. I don’t think CNN wants to show that reality, which isn’t pretty for Kamala. [/quote]

Another way to think about this is that Harris only has to win three states of the 7 battlegrounds whereas Trump has to win 5. And the reason Harris only has to win 3 is that the states where she is strongest are more populous and thus have more electoral votes.

But really neither of them has the "easier path." Basically whoever wins PA wins the election. Much like in previous years when it all came down to Florida. And the reality is that while FL and OH have swung to the right, Virginia and Colorado have swung to the left. So there's been no rightward shift in the US. It's just that people keep moving around and attitudes are shifting a bit.[/quote]

[b]Based on current polls, it seems very clear Trump will take GA, NC, AZ, and NV. [/b]That picture has emerged quite clearly in the two months since CNN apparently stopped using the wall and electoral predictions. That means there are really only three states in play (PA, WI, and MI), and of those, Kamala needs all three to win and Trump only needs one.

Instead of the endless panels on CNN with their partisan politics, I would prefer to see objective John King and his Wall. But it seems CNN has told him to stand down. [/quote]

Not really.

A candidate going to a swing state 4 times in one day (NC) to shore up does not show confidence in carrying the state.
The early voting in GA and AZ are VERY bullish for Harris.
NV is a total wildcard, and the early voting there favors Trump.

What polls are you seeing that support your assertion? Because the facts on the ground are not close to what you are saying.[/quote]

Again, CNN had Trump up by more than a point in NC, GA, and AZ, and Harris up by less than a point in WI, MI, and PA. I guess anything could happen in any state, which is why they are both going to all six (plus NV) all the time. It seems her path is harder, but there are many scenarios, which is why I like the map![/quote]

At this point, you have to look at the early voting numbers, not the polling.

The polling is showing Harris ahead in PA, MI, WI and GA.
Trump ahead in NV
and things too indeterminative in NC and AZ.[/quote]

This on early voting. [/quote]

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