Reply to What was your high-stats, unhooked, ED strategy in 2024 or will it be in 2025?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The reality for unhooked kids is that applying ED, SCEA, EA, and RD is like game theory these days. [b]I absolutely would not apply ED/SCEA to Harvard, Stanford, Yale, Princeton, Penn, and Duke. Toss those aside. Not happening for an unhooked kid from the DMV burbs[/b]. MIT doesn't care about ED so would apply RD if interested. But don't bother with restricted early.

I would look at your high school's college admissions from the past couple of years. Often, selective colleges are partial to certain high schools. And if your high school has had success with schools that your DC is interested in, consider it. And then you're just going to have to settle on your risk tolerance. For highly selective schools like Vanderbilt and Brown, it really is carnage in the regular decision round. But early action is at least possible. But if you choose wrong, then you're consigned to the chaos of regular decision.

On the other hand, if the kid really likes something a little lower ranked and with better odds, it can be the best call to apply early there. Provided that's someplace they really want to go and they don't get stuck wondering about other possibilities.   [/quote]

Not true. Unhooked Kids get in ED to some of those schools in DMV burbs on a somewhat regular basis. Heck, very top unhooked kids get into those in RD it is just much more rare than ED and they have to be truly top in everything [/quote]

Sure. There will always be outliers. But I think the original question was about strategy for unhooked students. And does little Timmy from Arlington or Bethesda really want to apply SCEA to Harvard or Princeton when a rejection there will really impact the likelihood of getting in to slightly lower ranked schools, where it really is a crapshoot when the acceptance rate is now 4/5 percent in RD.

I personally don't think it's worth it for completely unhooked students to apply ED to the top 7 or so schools when the chance of rejection is 99 percent. And you are foregoing schools that are only slightly less highly ranked and often a better fit regardless.

You only have one shot to apply ED/SCEA. For HPYSM, save it for regular decision.

It's all a very weird system. The ironic thing these days is that for the RD admits, HYPS are likely the backup schools after they didn't get into their ED schools.  [/quote]

My kid should have.  He ended up getting waitlisted at an HPYS RD.  The ED/SCEA might have been an acceptance. We listened to poor advice.  Should have shot his wad in the early round. [/quote]

It’s the opposite IME. Unhooked kids are less likely to get in SCEA. Often they get deferred to RD. Occasionally they are admitted then. Anyway, that’s what I have seen as an HYP alum interviewer. [/quote]

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