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DC Public and Public Charter Schools
Reply to "School preference and offer odds"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I find it hard to make sense of as even those who got into a higher ranked school might have been majority sibling preference applicants for all we know. If sibling preference at Basis, I'd still list Latin I and II on my application... Unless you can fully subtract out all preference applicants, you still can't quite calculate the odds.[/quote] This is true generally, but for middle school entry grades sibling preference is a guaranteed spot at every school and that makes it more straightforward. If you rank school A first and you have sibling preference there, you are definitely getting in. There is no reason to list any other school. You'll be reflected in the matched numbers at school A. If you rank school B first and don't get in, you'll still get into school A where you have sibling preference. You'll be reflected in the matched numbers at school A. You'll only be reflected in the waitlist numbers at school B, since you didn't get into a higher ranked school.[/quote] But would I also be listed as an applicant of school B? That's where I struggle with coming up with overall odds for an applicant with no preference [/quote] When we applied for our younger kid with sibling preference, we still listed additional schools as a just in case.[/quote] For 5th and 6th grades this makes no sense. Maybe people do it anyway but it is entirely irrational. Different story for someone applying to something like PK3 at Maury or 9th at Latin where sibling preference doesn't necessarily guarantee a seat.[/quote] Study after study has demonstrated people don't behave rationally when it comes to school choice lottery lists. And, it likely doesn't hurt them. They put down extra schools, they match at their top choice still. Kids can and do have sibling preferance at multiple schools also so this slightly bizarre odds calculation exercise will always have some noise.[/quote]
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