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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I don’t think this election or the 1-2 before it are typical elections where the populace is so inclined to keep an incumbent.  In other words, I don’t think his pre Trump calls are that informative going forward.  I think we are in new terrority and the polarization of the electorate and the feeling that half the voters are deeply unpopular with whoever will win, means that the stakes are higher and the swings more volatile.  I think this comes down to which voters turn out.[/quote]

Low turnout usually favors Republicans.

Youth will not turn out for this election. [/quote]

You obviously did not pay attention to the 2022 or 2023 elections.  In both elections, post-overturn of RvW, wherever abortion rights were on the ballot, the young, 18-25 and 26-35 demographics came out in record numbers.  These categories typically range from about 20% for off-year elections to about 40% for presidential elections.  Ohio, Kentucky, Kansas and Virginia all had abortion rights as a major item on the ballots and in each case, the two lowest voting demographics came out nearly double what they normally show (between 40-65% of those registered in those age brackets) and they voted between 70-85% in favor of abortion rights.  Biden and state candidates will be pushing abortion rights as a critical platform and the youth vote is likely to once again show up in record numbers to protect their reproductive rights.  And it isn't just young women, but young men who also want their partners to have the right to reproductive choice.

The Republican party did not heed the warning signs in 2022 or 2023, and the Democratic party will once again put this issue front and center of their platform and once again, young voters will turn out in record numbers to preserve their right to reproductive choice.[/quote]

The very states that are a battleground where Biden needs the youth vote have already protected abortion rights.  You’re counting on youth going out to vote for a disappointing candidate to protect women in other states, and often in a way that conflicts with the message they want to send to the Dems for a more pressing concern in their minds (Israel). It’s not that clear cut.[/quote]

Honestly I don't think it's "Israel/Palestine" at this point- its a basic difference of opinion where the older generation think that the United States is the wealthiest, most powerful global superpower that has an obligation to bail out our allies and support the world order.  The youth grew up exposed to  crumbing schools with potholed roads- they are nominating their cities for dominos to fix the potholes in the roads.

In a nutshell- the older people know they are rich an the younger generations feel like they are POOR, even the ones who are very very wealthy and doing well for themselves such as people in my social circle which is NW/NE DC openly acknowledge that they bough their homes with family help, its impossible otherwise,sometimes they even acknowledge that parents pay for their kids activities/tuition.  It's pervasive, the sense that you as a top 5% + are not able to pay your own way and that begs the question- what about everyone else? Younger people know that the US isn't a wealthy country anymore, they feel it and through their own travel or social media they can see other countries and the lifestyle there and want to know why we are giving away our tax money to support people who seem to be wealthier than us. The infrastructure in developing nations has surpassed ours at a rapid pace- everywhere is Japan now. Countries that receive aid from us have stuff that we are told we cant afford like parental leave, bullet trains, cheap health care and education systems.  This sense is emotional- its better to be a middle class working class person in USA than equivalent anywhere else but it is the perception and once someone feels poor or that they are in a state of scarcity, no amount of facts can talk them out of that feeling and Americans born after  2000 feel like we are a poor, cash strapped, crumbling country that is falling behind and getting scammed, all of congress looks like senior citizens getting scammed. [/quote]

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