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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]No one under 65 in their right mind is answering political polls. [/quote]

This is the right answer.

Democrats outperform when abortion is on the ballot. And it’s going to be on the ballot in 2024.

A good antecedent for 2024 will be the 2004 election, when Karl Rove’s insidiously put same-sex marriage on the ballot in a dozen states. Voters turned out in mass to vote AGAINST same-sex marriage and then voted for GWB’s reelection in spite of his administration’s massive failure on 9/11 and invasion of Iraq (which already showed signs of going badly). The same thing is going to happen in 2024 - abortion rights referenda will be on the ballot in at least half a dozen purple and red states (including Florida). It will create up-ballot and down-ballot victories for Democrats. It will force the GOP to spend money in otherwise “safe” red states and districts, playing defense instead of going on the offense to win swing areas.

Pollsters have a very hard time of getting samples right in the era of cell phones. The more predictive data for “who will win?” has been voter registration trends and early voting data. [/quote]

Everyone knows that skipping out on a poll will have absolutely no effect on their life whatsoever.  But people will crawl over broken glass to cast a vote in the most important election in American history.

Polls do not equal votes.[/quote]

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