Reply to Trump wins over Biden in NBC poll for the first time, as president’s approval craters to new low

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Someone didn't learn from 2016 polls that polls are not always accurate.

Polls have also shown that the incumbent POTUS can be behind and still win.

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/16/us/politics/biden-trump-election-presidents-polling.html[/quote]

For the incumbent president to lose, you’d need a *major* economic, foreign policy or domestic crisis.  And probably a combination of at least two.  GDP is strong, the unemployment rate is low and inflation is trending downward.  Nobody has to wear masks at the grocery store any more.  And say what you will about Ukraine and Israel, but not one American soldier has died in those conflicts.  From that vantage point, Biden is going to be very hard to beat.[/quote]

[b]Cough cough Bush the Elder cough cough.[/b]

And he wasn't as unpopular or hated as Biden was. And far more popular than Biden was at his peak.

As it is, I'm amused at younger voter's disapproval of Biden over Israel and Gaza. What are they going to do? Turn to Turnip? Who is staunchly pro Israel.

[/quote]

As PP said, Trump is not 1992 Bill Clinton.  Plus Republicans were going for their 4th straight win in 1992, when winning the presidency 3 times in a row is damn near impossible.[/quote]

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