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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]For me, the key question is what exactly your chances are at Purple for 2nd grade. You say chances are "better" - what does that amount to numerically? You can look at the Tableau dashboards and see. If "better" is still like a 50-60% chance (or lower) I'd probably switch to Blue, and if Blue isn't manageable, be much more strategic about my lottery choices next year (there are solid safeties for 2nd grade that are well regarded, it's an easy year to switch). If, essentially, Blue IS one of those solid safeties and you're just picky, then yes, definitely switch to Blue. It may be the best you'll get and you need to make peace with that.

If your chances for Purple for 2nd grade is 80%+ or better for 2nd grade, I'd stick with Red and assume you switch next year.

[b](PS, I totally see why you aren't saying the names of the schools. I actually think for getting advice on your actual question from your perspective and priorities, which are what matters, the hypothetical is better - if you name the schools, it'll just devolve into boosters/haters of those particular schools). [/quote][/b]

Agree! This is a smart way to ask because it gets to the issues you actually care about. I'll go with the masses in advising sticking with Red, but I'd also suggest taking a look at short waitlists. https://apply.myschooldc.dc.gov/SecureApplication/ApplicantDefault.aspx

Depending on where you live and how far you'd be willing to commute, there are schools on that list with openings or likely openings that could be as good as you think purple would be that you could be into for next school year. In fact, there are definitely several schools on that list that I would keep a kid in through fourth or fifth grade based on what I know about them, and there are probably several more that are equally good and just not as familiar to me. [/quote]

https://www.myschooldc.org/short-waitlists :)[/quote]

This is the PP. Thank you for correcting my bad link!

OP, you may not see anything you like there or it may all be too far away, but figured it was worth sharing, just in case. [/quote]

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