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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Ten years ago everyone was saying self-driving cars would soon eliminate truck drivers, taxi drivers, etc.  So far that hasn’t happened and fully autonomous driving seems a long way off.  Likewise, I don’t see AI displacing white collar workers anytime soon.  There are too many things it can’t do at all, like interviewing/deposing witnesses (for concerned lawyers), or can’t do as well as a human, and developing those capabilities could take decades.[/quote]

In high school, people barely had the internet.  I didn't even own a cell phone until college. Now everyone has high speed internet and it is pretty much an essential utility. 3 year olds are completely fictional with a smart phone. I can look up almost all knowledge of human history on my smart phone. All of this development happened in 20 years. Non-STEM people really cannot wrap their brains around exponential and logarithmic growth.  Once the AI genie is out of the bottle it is going to learn and improve at an exponential rate. It will easily replace many white collar jobs in a matter of a few years.[/quote]
Technologies like the Internet don’t compare to AI.  No one can predict when it will be capable of displacing sophisticated white collar work.  And it’s way to premature to say it will happen in just a few years.[/quote]

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