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Reply to "Grabbing the bottom of the market"
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[quote=Anonymous][/quote] Incorrect. This analysis is highly correlated with current market conditions. To suggest that it isn’t is to ignore the impact of future earnings estimates on society’s perceptions of appropriately valued stock prices. You can certainly dollar cost average your way to long-term gains, but it likely won’t be until 2027 that the S&P 500 regains it’s previous peak value of 4819. Meanwhile, those that liquidated into cash when both stocks and bonds were [i]obviously[/i] overvalued and then followed the above analytical recipe will have gained 60% more wealth than their DCA counterparts. [/quote] This is a huge assumption (and an extremely negative prediction): it likely won’t be until 2027 that the S&P 500 regains it’s previous peak value of 4819 [/quote]
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