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College and University Discussion
Reply to "Just realized application fee alone will cost $1000+"
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[quote=Anonymous]The amount of work in crafting essays is going to be more than you realize! My kid applied to 11 schools and the lead up to the RD submission deadline was painful. Applying to more schools should improve your probability of admission to at least one, as long as you’re qualified. My kid applied to 4 serious reaches (acceptance rate < 10%) and got into 1, waitlisted at 1, and rejected at 2. She got into all matches and safeties. Calculating independent probabilities, if dc applies to 10 schools, 5 with a 5% probability of admission and 5 with a 10% probability of admission, then the probability of getting shut out is 46%. Add 2 more applications with a 10% probability of acceptance and the probability of getting shut out drops to 37%. You can use an online calculator like calculator.net to play around with the probabilities. It can help you understand that the probabilities may not be what you expect. For example, if you apply to 10 schools with a 10% probability of acceptance, your probability of getting shut out is 35%. Add 2 schools with a 75% of acceptance and the probability of getting shut out drops to 2.2%.[/quote]
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