Reply to Keep Glover Park & Stoddert Together

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Reply to "Keep Glover Park & Stoddert Together"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Here's the actual chart from that document:

[img]https://drive.google.com/uc?id=1_mJcZ_5fakk2V_xQloGgdWVEkY7-asIR[/img]

It doesn't at all support your analysis. In particular, there are a lot of kids who are in boundary for Key who will be a lot closer to Foxhall -- they'll go from a median of 1.9 miles today to a median of 0.4. That's the difference between walkable and unwalkable. I count 193 kids today from Mann and Key who would be affected by the boundary change. But both schools are predicted to grow substantially in the next decade, applying that same rate of growth you easily get to the 275 number that was the baseline in my post. In fact, you probably don't even need to move the boundary quite as aggressively as they suggested in that presentation.

So no, they don't need Stoddert kids to fill the new school. Please stop with the beggar-thy-neighbor attempts to scuttle a new school. Those kids deserve a walkable school as much as yours do. [/quote]

You are counting to 500 instead of 193 somehow.  First, since DCPS's example plan you show is for ~400 kids including Mann, Key, and Stoddert, it's safe to say they want 400 kids.  You can theorize about PreK numbers, but DCPS isn't planning those numbers those are yours alone.  So find 400 kids from Key and Mann areas to fit into Foxhall.  You can't without large distances.  Maybe you can find your 275, but I doubt even that.

And I doubt that because second I don't know either how good or granular DCPS's projections are, but the future kids aren't going to live in the same houses as the current kids.  That would be a large gap between the ages of kids in a single household.  And the Palisades allows no development other than loudly demanding a school as seen above.  Any kids moving in will be matched by kids moving out.  So where are the additional kids going to live?  Most likely the Wisconsin and Mass corridors where there might be new development.  Too far away from Foxhall.

Summing it up, by DCPS's own example plan, you need to find 400 kids.  You found 193 and imagined that would be 275.  And you didn't consider where your 275-193=82 kids are going to live, much less the 400-193=207 that's actually needed. 
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