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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Why are people on here suggesting that OP’s kid has as much as a 20% chance of getting into Stanford?  Her child has no standout ECs and no hooks, is coming from an affluent suburb and a school where dozens of kids will be applying to Stanford and similar. Her kid is not getting into Stanford, perfect stats notwithstanding, unless she writes a world class essay.  OP, I sincerely hope your child does not waste a SCEA or ED application on a HYPMS type school.  There are plenty of great schools looking for kids like yours, and now is a great time to start making a realistic list.

Mind you, my perfect stats DD ignored this advice a few years ago and did blow her SCEA on Stanford despite our advice to not go this route. She didn’t get in, nor did any of her other high stats/no hooks friends from our top public. The few who did were athletes, legacies, and URMs, all of whom also had high stats (our younger child is at Stanford now and is an athletic recruit). All these kids from my DD’s class have graduated or will graduate this year, and all are doing great. If your kid is in the top of their class at a top public here, they truly will thrive wherever they go. I know it’s hard to really understand this when dealing with the college application frenzy the first time, but it’s true. [/quote]
All applicants collectively have a 2-6% chance of admissions. Each applicant individually has a different chance. I lurk on this board, and having done this for 25 years professionally, I think a kid with those stats has about 20% chance...[/quote]
Nonsense. For that to be true, ~80% of the Stanford applicant pool would need to be significantly less qualified academically than OP's kid. And that's just not the case; Stanford's applicant pool is mind-blowingly strong. Maybe 25% have no business floating in apps, but no more than that. So maybe you lift the overall odds for academically qualified applicants from 4% to 5%...but without a strong hook, OP's kid's odds will be significantly below that overall average, not above it....[/quote]

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