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Reply to "Military observations on Ukraine invasion"
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[quote=BlueFredneck][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Meh.....they sent in a bunch of teenagers and early 20s somethings (kids) conscripts with crappy supplies and weapons to serves as fresh meat to be turned into ground beef. They were used to soften up the Ukraine. Russia's advanced weaponry and elite divisions till haven't really been deployed yet. People shouldn't get confident at all that Russia has been 'struggling'. They are just getting warmed up, so I wouldn't extract a whole lot from the first week of combat. [/quote] So they sent in their 3rd string bench warmers just to confused the US military and intelligence officers? Makes a lot of sense. [/quote] Russia does not wants to limit the loss of their most advanced equipment and heavy armor. Force the Ukrainians to use up all of their anti-tank weapons, stingers, etc. on junk equipment operated by a bunch of kids forced to enlist. Ukraine will be out of ammo soon. Molotov cocktails don't work against fearsome T90s. And who knows if they start field the T14. It's a beast. [/quote] They are still field testing the T14. We might - might - see the T14 show up later this year. More and more anti-tank weaponry is getting shipped to Ukraine. Their bigger concern is keeping cities fed if they are under siege. Russia being on the offensive, have to worry about keeping their military fed and equipped. Failure to do so would put a damper in their plan to turn Ukraine into a set of Groznys if the ammo trucks get stuck in traffic on the E-95. Remember, all supplies must be trucked in, Ukraine cut off all rail entries. The 80s equipment could surely be used to help patrol the countryside in an occupation situation. I guess a rope-a-dope situation might make some sense, but any Ukrainian entity will continue to have international support and thus military supply. It seemed like Putin tried to do a quick beheading strike against Kyiv. That ... did not work. He's had the most success in the South so far, with Mariupol besieged or nearly so. Some combination of air bombing and shelling to force a capitulation will be attempted. If the most the Russians can come up with is Yanukovich or some mayor of a city of 25k, s/he will have no credibility. Unless Putin WANTED to see his army get killed, he'd have tried fifth column activities before the war - we heard NOTHING. No plots, nothing. Of course the Ukrainian infantry have handheld SAMs and artillery emplacements have to be protected. Russia is trying to operate in hostile territory and further from their bases than they have in previous wars. Georgia - they went in maybe 10 miles from Abkhazia and South Ossetia and didn't seriously try to attack Tblisi. Ukraine I - only tried to take Crimea and Donbass. Chechnya - didn't have to advance as far and Grozny was about 1/8 the size of Kyiv, with better-armed defenders and FAR more international aid/sympathy. Also this is the smart phone era. We will see Russians committing even more human rights violations in real time. [/quote]
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