Reply to 4.4 percent of MCPS staff report having COVID

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]My ES has three staff with Covid.   That’s a normal illness rate for flu season - we often have had 2-3 staff out sick at the same time.   We don’t need to close for staff shortages at this time.

Other schools might, but system wide closures make no sense.  [/quote]

Cool, is there also no flu this year? So just 2-3 total staff out, since COVID is the only illness that exists now?[/quote]

I don’t know anyone sick with flu - do you?  It’s possible, but doesn’t seem prevalent.  [/quote]

Well, yes, I do, and with a cold. But I also know a few people who are sick with cold/flu symptoms and just assuming it's COVID, without a test. They wouldn't be counted among COVID cases, but they are not going in to work. And then there are other reasons for absences.

It may be true that with omicron so rampant, it's partially replacing other absences, but I highly doubt it's doing so fully. That defies common sense.

E.g. there might normally be 5 staff out of 100 out for whatever reason during cold and flu season, but now there might be 5 out for COVID and still 3 more out for other reasons. And then with the replicability of COVID, by the end of the week that might be 8-10 out for COVID (even with some people coming back after quarantine) and 3 out for other reasons, then next week 12-20 out for COVID and 3 out for other reasons, and so on.

I just don't understand why people can look at COVID numbers, specifically, and decide that if they're "not that high" now, they won't ever be, or won't be soon. It reminds me of when people were like, "Yeah, but there's only 500 people dead" or "Yeah, but there's only like a 1 in 10,000 or 1 in 1000 chance of getting COVID, so..." in ~March of 2020.

I mean, yeah, 5% of staff out in wintertime, if that's [i]all[/i] of the staff that's out, and [i]that's where it stops[/i][i], sure, okay, we can deal with that.

But... why would we assume that? That's not a good assumption.[/quote]

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