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Reply to "Will Manchin and Sinema crack?"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I'm mystified by Sinema. Manchin makes some sense. He's from a very red state and needs to show separation from the party to get enough votes to win. He's also historically been pretty conservative. But Sinema is from a state that is strongly trending blue. Her campaign specifically promoted a bunch of the items that are in the reconciliation bill. That's what she won on. She used to be a Green Party activist! And now her support among democrats in Arizona is in the tank. If she sinks the reconciliation bill, she is guaranteed a strong primary challenge that she will almost certainly lose. It's baffling. [/quote] Actually Manchin is the bigger enigma. The programs included in the $3.5T bill are wildly popular in WV, but Manchin ignores that. Sinema is easy to figure out: she's a straight-up sellout.[/quote] Machin always shows his independence, then quietly votes. He just needs to make it clear to WVa he’s not a Dem Stooge. Ultimately, he’ll get the WVa pork. Sinema is going to be a wealthy woman with a very soft landing place when she loses the 2024 primary. Either that, or she’s a mentally ill meglomaniac who needs the spotlight. She’s super erratic. So, that’s also very possible. [/quote] If Sinema loses the 2024 primary it means AZ will have a Republican senator. Some of you are confusing "trending blue" with "becoming wildly progressive." The two are not the same. If the Democrats go sharply progressive, many of the "trending blue" places will now "trend red." Sinema knows this. One can't fault her position as a very moderate Democrat. You know, Democrats used to be moderate... [/quote] She isn’t moderate though she’s crazy. You could actually run to the right of where she was in 2018 in AZ, on good governance issues. [/quote] Yeah I feel like you don't need to run as a progressive to defeat Sinema in a primary. Run as someone who wants to get things done instead of someone who's going to get in the way, blah blah blah. It's weird because I instinctively like her and I assumed that she had some insights that were telling her Arizonans wanted her to do what she's doing. But maybe there is no plan?[/quote] Mark Kelly is fully on board and his approval ratings in AZ are way higher than Sinemas. I don’t see any evidence that support g reconciliation would be bad for her electorally.[/quote]
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