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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The 30-40% choice assumes MV kids don’t go to other schools instead, but all try for DCI.

Of course, the percent chance only goes up if DCI doesn’t get better or gets worse, while if DCI is in more demand yes your chance is lower. Currently at our feeder probably only 50-60% of kids even opt for DCI.[/quote]

THIS  Not all kids will be going to DCI.  Families move to burbs, to WOTP for Deal/Wilson, go private, play the lottery and get into Latin, Basis, etc...

BTW it’s not 30-40% chance from MV.  Have no idea how PP above pulls that number.  It’s 60% chance if all kids go DCI route. We started at MV at the new campus last year and they were transparent and 60% was the number leadership calculated if all kids went to DCI. Now throw in out of all those kids, maybe 60% actually want to go and your odds are 80% plus.

Compare that to your IB middle school feeder which for us is 0% chance.

McFarland isn’t happening anytime soon for those naive enough to think so.  Families are not staying for the upper grade elementary to even track to McFarland.  I don’t blame them when 3 out of 4 kids are below grade level in ELA and 9 out of 10 kids are below grade level in math.  I suspect competency in foreign languages is pretty poor if you are not even on grade level in English.

Lastly, DCI has already been approved to increase their enrollment numbers. No talks of this happening currently but they have some flexibility to increase enrollment with future demand,[/quote]

60% includes siblings. For those without sibling preference, the odds are much lower (like the odds of getting into any of the feeders are currently). And I think you can project how many kids take DCI seats based on how many are doing so now. Most families we know are in those feeders largely because of the DCI pathway. I don’t think that’s going to change, even without the guarantee.[/quote]

About 60% sounds right at our school too for the percentage of kids that continue onto DCI.  It’s definitely not anywhere close to 100%.

So I would say for siblings 100% get in and non-siblings good bet around 60%.  Don’t know the numbers but Stokes and LAMB are all in the same boat in that it’s not guaranteed due to expansion.  
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