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Reply to "Your best guess for Obama's probability of re-election"
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[quote=takoma][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Yes, America is obviously on the brink of downfall. /sarcasm[/quote] downgraded bond ratings for the first time in history, record debts and deficits, [b]historic unemployment[/b] rates, rising threat from China, India and Brazil, fleeing one war and losing another, education system in shambles. Yeah, I'd say so.[/quote] [img]http://data.bls.gov/generated_files/graphics/LNS14000000_66325_1319867076962.gif[/img] I thought I recalled a higher point years back, but the correlations escaped me until I looked at the graph. It looks like it went up over 8% toward the end of Nixon/Ford in '76, dropped under Carter down to about 6%, rose to over 10% around this time in Reagan's first term, but dropped to around 7.5% around the time he was re-elected, and continued dropping until halfway through Bush 1, when it rose again to 7.5%, which apparently helped elect Clinton, under whom it dropped to around 4%, and then bounced around a bit under Bush 2, until at the end of his term when it began the spike back up to around 10% early in Obama's term. So not only is this rate not unprecedented, it is outdone by none other than Saint Ronald, and appears to generally rise under Republicans and fall under Democrats. Or perhaps I am reading the graph incorrectly????[/quote]
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