Reply to Saw Marc Elrich the other day

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Elrich is turning Montgomery County into a police state. This is how I, a liberal Democrat, see things. I plan to vote against anybody running for re-election to the County Council this year, and anyone else that supports Comrade Elrich.[/quote]

I’m a lifelong Democrat and I agree.

Caution is one thing; [b]establishing unattainable criteria for reopening is another.[/b] [/quote]

So it's a good thing they haven't done that.

Also, nobody is running for re-election to the County Council this year. In Maryland, state and local elections are held every 4 years in the non-presidential years. The governor, state legislature, county executive, and county council were on the ballot in 2018 and will be on the ballot again in 2022.[/quote]

NP here.  Erlich and the council have not shared the key data for opening. It’s not transparent yet but plans in the works for that supposedly. They have known about Maryland metrics for weeks and yet they waited.

But as a data scientist you can triangulate some of the data published by the state.  90 percent of the deaths in Moco over last week (as of Wednesday when the state reports nursing home data) were due to nursing homes.   That will have a tail for a few weeks.  Ie cases in nursing homes will dominate our death statistics for weeks, potentially a month   Last week, it was an increase in deaths percent due to nursing homes  week on week.  We can infer from the data that many of the - active - cases are in nursing homes.  We can’t see hospitalization/ICU  data and last Tuesday Gayles was quoted in bethesda beat that he didn’t know.   But yet that is what they are opining on

No matter what the ordinary citizen does, we can’t stop the nursing home case to outcome  trend that will occur over the next few weeks.  It’s terrible public policy that let it occur to this magnitude

MD is not focused on case  data since they retest hotspots and Nursing homes, but Erlich is   Why?  Especially when he lacks data

MD is backed by a committee of Hopkins doctors and transparent data, for Moco it’s Erlich and Gayles

What I’m really concerned about is the gap between Erlich and the state   MD has had a nursing home plan for weeks.  Erlich and council members are saying they now have a plan.  What is the truth?   This is also an issue in PG.

Note: There are many threads in health forum dissecting the data and plan by people with expertise

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