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Reply to "When will soccer (and sports in general) start up again?"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]From Singapore via the LA Times: “Without a vaccine or antiviral drug, we should expect to deal with this virus [for] the long haul.” https://apple.news/Azt7ahth2SaiM48oQgrgOnA[/quote] Of course. I don't think that settles the question. The virus does not disappear while we are locked down. Flattening the curve does not eliminate the problem more generally. And the federal and state governments cannot simply pay Americans (or even 20% of the workforce) to stay home for a year. The markets (and Chinese) cannot finance it, and even if they could, we'd be in debt for the next 20 years. There will be staged exposure and returns to work when testing improves and then we will see how quickly we get to herd immunity. It will take some time but anybody who thinks we are locked in for a year has absolutely no idea how the world works. It is absolutely economically impossible. Whether it is appropriate to spend the next 20 years worth of federal expenditures to lower death from Coronvirus is a different question. It is impossible. But even if it were feasible, what else are we losing by spending all that money to do that, even if we had it? At some point, there are these tradeoffs that nobody wants to make or discuss. They are there whether we like them or not, and cures are not going to drop from the sky in the next 12 months. Pure fantasy. [/quote] Ya, if you read the whole article rather than just the one quotation, most of the medical scenarios are covered: waves of infection, tightening and loosening of restrictions to manage medical resources, slow build-up of herd immunity. All adding up to "dealing with this virus." Of course we can't just have everyone sit inside for 12-18 months.[/quote]
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