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Reply to "Have you noticed 538's recent Senate forecast trend?"
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[quote=Anonymous]The predictive ness of the polls critically depends on the turnout assumption embedded in the polls. I have been watching the two early voting blogs in Nevada and Florida, and both suggest a turnout more favorable to Democrats than the polls suggest (specifically for the Nelson-Scott and Rosen-Heller races). So I am cautiously optimistic for the night.[/quote]
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