Reply to Lottery Issue + Language Immersion Format + Homeschool/Co-Op Inquiry

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Reply to "Lottery Issue + Language Immersion Format + Homeschool/Co-Op Inquiry"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Telling people the odds is misleading.  A lot can change from year to year and there is a certain element of randomness as well.  It would not be reliable information and would only confuse people.  The most I would do is flag schools that have gone several years without admitting any nonsiblings to preschool.[/quote]

Even that could be misleading. Deal did not take OOB students for years, and then made 20+ offers from their waitlist for 17-18. What if someone had been dissuaded from listing it and got a great master number?
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Actually I made my own calculator for odds last year on a spreadsheet. But it could only tell me the odds from the prior year, because spots allocated to siblings aren't published for coming year and you can ask schools directly but they can/will only give you a ballpark. So I tried, hard, to make this calculator. And in the end I don't think it added anything to my list. The odds seemed awful at several schools, but, myself and several friends got into those schools by the day school started. So, basically a calculator can't be accurate and also doesn't really help because, luck is luck. If you really have more than 12 schools you want to list, consider that you're casting too wide a net geographically or otherwise. Nobody should really need a longer list than 12.

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