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Montgomery County Public Schools (MCPS)
Reply to "Initial boundary options for Woodward study area are up "
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]and also, none of the options factor in behavioral change as people move based on the boundaries. so you are likely to end up with different outcomes than predicted when there are big changes to busing/boundaries.[/quote] I don't think this will be very impactful. Yes, some people will move, but you won't have low-income people moving into single family homes, and not many UMC will move into apartments. Some will choose private school for sure.[/quote] people definitely will move based on boundary changes. Every study on boundary changes shows this to be true. But you're thinking about low-income people moving. That's not what causes the numbers to be wrong, because as you note they aren't likely to. What will happen is that the rich people that now have their kids zoned for some school with a 60 minute bus ride will either go private or move. Those kids will now not be lowering the FARMS rate at the school they would have been bused to. Ergo the proposed equalizing of FARMS rates (not that Option 3 even accomplishes that) won't actually happen.[/quote] I specifically said some people will move. But there is a shortage of SFHs. If a $1.2 million house lets say loses a lot of value and now sells for $800k, there absolutely will be UMC families that buy there. There are houses zoned for Kennedy right now that have sold for $1 million.[/quote] yeah the rich who have $1.2 million dollar homes can sell that and buy another one over in VA. but you are arguing that some other less rich person will accept the bus ride and move into the area and keep the FARMs rate low? [/quote] Yes. I think some will. When we were buying we saw neighborhoods like this. UMC families with kids bought in neighborhoods zoned for high poverty schools. In some cases they didn't pay much attention to the schools or were just willing to try it out. Of course, some will just choose private. And maybe a shift towards families without school age children buying those houses, I guess, but I don't know how much demand there is in that demographic for a large SFH.[/quote]
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