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Reply to "Ukrainian victory over Russia is inevitable "
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Where is the Russian victory here? Best case, they keep their gains in Donbas and Crimea. But no one on the planet recognizes it. Sanctions stay on forever. Russia is a pariah state. Their economy tanks. Russians become poorer. There will be endless local resistance. Most Russian soldiers will die one way or another. Much of the area will be uninhabitable for decades anyway because of mines. The entire planet loathes Russia. Europe moves on from Russian energy. They used to have Germany paying a premium. Now it's just India taking advantage of Russia's weakness. Where is the Russian win? [/quote] I am not pro Russian but was surprised how much better they seem to fare under sanctions than expected. Maybe it’s a matter of time though. So far most stuff is replaced or imported through third countries. There is inflation and other problems relevant to war and human capital flight but I am not seeing anything catastrophic? [/quote] I was just catching up with a (multi-passported) friend who lives in Moscow and was in NYC visiting family. She reports the only difference is that it takes longer to travel; otherwise, no difference. People are still buying apartments and putting Italian tile backsplash in them. No biggie.[/quote]
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