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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Meanwhile as the bots claim it's all a failure, Ukraine just passed a milestone of having reclaimed 50% of its lands previously invaded and occupied by Russia.  Meanwhile Russian targets all the way in Moscow are being blown up by Ukrainian drones.  Russia continues to lose.[/quote]

And what ridiculous contortions did you go through to reach that milestone?[/quote]

"Ridiculous contortions?"  Dude, even pro-Russian telegram channels and milbloggers have been acknowledging for the last month that Ukraine has been making gains in multiple directions all along the front.

The only person here engaging in ridiculous contortions is you, trying to stick your head in the sand and refuse to acknowledge what the Russian army knows.[/quote]

Show your numerator and denominator.[/quote]

1 over 2[/quote]

I was able to track down this 50% business, and it seems a number that Blinken pulled out of his ..., uh guitar case. No media felt it a serious enough claim to actually explain or investigate, making it par for the course for alternate-reality Ukraine. [/quote]

I think it is true if you compare to some time in March 2022, where Russia was occupying a lot of area near Belarus.  It has been about the same area for a year.[/quote]
Also, the ISW maps credits Russia with a larger area preinvasion, so the denominator is smaller, and it is easier to reclaim half.[/quote]

So yeah, playing games to get some small morale boost is the name of the game here.

In case people haven't noticed, Russia is fighting a war of attrition not one of land. The land is easy to take once the army is broken. Zelensky will gladly sacrifice thousands of men, and dozens of armored units to take a few square K. They'll run out of army long before Russia runs out of fields.[/quote]

You seem to think that Ukraine will break before Russian troops do?

"Troops from the 7th VDV Division subsequently published an audio message on July 15 warning against the dismissal of their commander Teplinsky, who has also complained about the handling of the war in Ukraine. They threatened to withdraw from the occupied Kherson region, in Ukraine's south, if anything similar were to happen to Teplinsky."
It looks like Ukraine is having success cutting off the North-South transport / re-supply route along M03?

"They [Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and Gerasimov] are preparing to send them to slaughter,"
"All of them [VDV] are essentially light infantry, and they are being thrown to break through the layered defense."
"If the Ministry of Defense succeeds in their maneuver, then with one blow they will kill two birds with one stone—they will thin out the population of the military, dissatisfied with their management methods, and slow down the surrender of Bakhmut, who is now in a semi-encirclement," 
"If the idea fails, then Teplinsky will be made guilty. Or maybe they will help him with failure, limiting his equipment and ammunition (again, in their usual manner)."
https://www.newsweek.com/russia-elite-unit-vdv-bakhmut-counteroffensive-mutiny-fears-document-letter-1815164

To put context around this news, the 7th is an elite "Guards" Mountain Air Assault Division.  I would consider them on-par with the US 82nd or 101st Airborne Divisions.  If an elite Russian Army unit like this collapses in Bahkmut, I believe it will affect Russian morale along the Russian front lines.  This is a direct effect of the Wagner pull-out in Bakhmut.

"Russia has "been forced" to deploy once-elite airborne forces (VDV) from four separate army divisions to hold the frontline in the city"
https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-war-latest-russian-region-attacked-by-ukrainian-artillery-fire-as-wagner-forces-start-to-withdraw-from-bakhmut-12541713?postid=5999301

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/7th_Guards_Mountain_Air_Assault_Division

The timing of these ammo depots helps Ukrainian momentum.  It may mean that the Ukrainians are able to move units closer in range to reach targets they couldn't reach before.

"AFU destroys eight more Russian ammunition depots near Bakhmut"
https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3740196-afu-destroys-eight-more-russian-ammunition-depots-near-bakhmut.html

In the meantime, Solovyov is lashing out about cluster munitions, since they're highly effective against infantry in woods or dug into trenches.  His anger appears genuine (tongue click at [0:27 / 6:21] and uncontrolled emotion at [1:33 / 6:21]), so it's clear that the cluster munitions are making a difference.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NSU7gktyLjE

Once units like the 7th are broken, it will be at least 10 years to recover.  [/quote]

Russia has been trying to backfill the VDV and other elite units as well, but the replacements have nowhere near the training and capabilities continue to degrade as the war continues to take its toll on Russia.[/quote]

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