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Metropolitan DC Local Politics
Reply to "Abigail Spanberger "
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I think that she doesn’t understand basic economics. Raising taxes doesn’t work - it just causes wealthy people to move to a lower tax state. See California population outflows…[/quote] False https://www.forbes.com/sites/teresaghilarducci/2025/12/29/do-wealth-taxes-really-make-billionaires-leave/ “Cristobal Young and Charles Varner’s work using New Jersey and California tax data finds near-zero long-run migration elasticities among millionaires. Even after sizable tax increases, the number who leave is small, and the revenue gained from those who stay exceeds the revenue lost from movers.” [/quote] VA raising taxes could cause folks to move to DC or Maryland (if that’s where they’d rather be), as [b]VA would no longer be the low-tax option in the DMV[/b].[/quote] Why? You’re going to have to show the math on that one. Traffic sucks. Most people choose their location based on their work location, not minor variations in tax rates. [/quote] The current maximum state + local income tax rates in the DMV are as follows: Virginia: 5.75% Maryland (6.5%) + Bethesda (3.2%): 9.7% DC: 10.75% For persons with $1M of taxable income, they pay $57,500 if they live in Virginia, $97,000 in Maryland, or $107,500 in DC. We absolutely chose to live in Virginia over DC to save the $50k in taxes (as well as to have access to in-state tuition for our kids to VA universities). If Virginia raises taxes to over 10%, we'd just move to DC and be part of the gentrification of DC. [/quote] How much do you make? How much of it is [u]over $1m[/u]? We make ~$2.5M HHI. Using very simple math/accounting: 5.75% => $144k VA tax If the legislation passes (it's not even out of committee yet BTW): 5.75% + 10% for over $1M => $208k VA tax [b]Are we going to move over $64k? No. That's less than 3% of our income and a fraction of what we'd pay for realtor fees to sell our house. [/b] In reality, it'd be less than that with various deductions. And if we were going to move, it'd probably be somewhere with even more taxes. Republican histrionics aren't based in reality. [/quote] You can certainly decide what you want to do, but you're comparing a one-time cost (realtor fees) to an on-going (yearly tax) cost that is likely to continue to rise.[/quote]
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