Reply to Savannah Guthrie’s mom is missing, suspect kidnapping

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]It seems very bleak at this point. They have hardly any forensic evidence. No clues that we are aware of. All we have is that video. And a random glove far from the crime scene. It’s been 12 days. Everyone makes fun of the kidnapper for looking like an amateur, well, he seems to have done the job and not left a trace. I am so sorry this has happened and my heart goes to the Guthrie family.  I will say the FBI, led by Kash Patel, is probably a disaster and bungled it. [/quote]

I have seen a couple of interviews with experts this morning, and they actually seem hopeful. The backpack is key. They believe the suspect is from Tucson, so he probably purchased it locally. They will look at everyone who purchased it and pull driver’s license info to eliminate everyone who does not fit the height and facial features. This will narrow it down a lot. Sure, there is a chance that he borrowed it, stole it, or purchased second-hand. But it seems less likely. Even if he purchased with cash, they can pull surveillance video. Somebody will recognize him from the video. I am convinced that they are already closing in. [/quote]

The cops sure seem to be operating from the 1800s. Who doesn’t shop online nowadays? Good god, they’re really hoping Walmart will solve this crime?

How are they sure the backpack is brand new? [/quote]

Well they aren’t shopping online with cash. So they will have credit card info for purchases made online and shipped to Tucson.

Apparently it is the latest version of the backpack so they know it was purchased fairly recently.

Also, me. I don’t like to buy everything online. I am no Olympic athlete, but I do have the energy to walk into the Wal-Mart down the road. For something like a backpack, I would prefer to check out the size, quality, storage compartments in person. [/quote]

My money is on the backpack being a dead end.

If I'm going to commit a crime. I'm shoplifting everything I can fit into my overcoat, and a backpack fits that criteria. Heck, I might even be so bold as to rip the tags off the backpack and fill it with the other pilfered items I need, hello horse tranquilizers, zip ties, duct tape.

No way I'm going through the Walmart check out line, who knows how long they hang onto the recording, but no doubt that data is going to a datacenter, where it gets compiled and crushed and tied to a list of every other purchase I've made, along with my image and my purchase details, how I paid, what day I visited, what websites I like to visit, etc. Too much money in data these days to just throw it all away. Those cameras aren't about security; they are about data mining.

Any criminal who watches any true life crime shows the perp always gets busted by the footage from Home Depot cameras where they are recorded buying, some combination of 10 feet of rope, 2 boxes of zip ties, acid, lye, woodchipper, plastic gloves, masks, respirators, industrial garbage bags, a case of plastic tarps, cement, cement mixer, duct tape, and a big old ax and bleach, lots and lots of bleach. [/quote]

Walmart, Home Depot, and all those other places still have you on camera shoplifting.[/quote]

Yeah but not if this was planned a year ago or even months ago. Footage is often taped over and there’s no proof this person was even local. [/quote]

Loss prevention departments will hang on to this footage and track shoplifters. But I doubt it was shoplifted here. You know the saying - don't commit a crime while you're committing a crime.[/quote]

Quick Google shows 4,600-4,800 Walmarts in the States. It seems impossible to track one black backpack down across all those stores. I mean, eBay and Poshmark both sell the same model. Poshmark has one up right now. [/quote]

There’s only about 4 Walmarts in the Tucson area that would sell stuff like backpacks I think.  I assume they’ve already pulled those records if they are marginally competent.  Hopefully Walmart didn’t make them get a subpoena.[/quote]

A lot of people already have backpacks. They don't need a special new one to pull off a crime purchased right before it happens. It's a needle in a haystack.[/quote]

Good law enforcement work is chasing down these little threads with the hope that one of them pings.  The bag actually looks pretty new in the photos (still has good shape, no fraying on straps) so there’s a decent chance it was purchased recently.  Everything is kind of a needle in a haystack but if you’re looking for something important buried in a haystack, you go through it all carefully.  I also think the jacket might be a good lead — it is actually kind of an unusual jacket. [/quote]

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