Reply to MLSnext 2 and GA moves to school year cutoff from 26-27 season

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]common language for most american players.... culture etc.

Sending an 18 year old from Iowa to italy/spain would be a complete disater.[/quote]

Not necessarily. Pulicic, from Hershey, PA, went to Brossia Dortmund at age 16 I think? Point is that MLS and Youth Soccer are trying to make the US more competitive and developmentally mature, and I can see why MLS Next sticking to BY might be their preference to align with the majority of the world. That was their argument when the change to BY happened in '16.

Whether that is realistic or would work out over time is TBD. It would take generations before an answer is known. [/quote]Um, no, they are not trying to help anything other than having older kids on the U.S. U-kid international teams. That's it.[/quote]

How can they have kids older than the age group on the USYNTs?[/quote]

The previous age change from SY to BY was because they were trying to give the advantage of the RAE to the January-march birthdays as those birthdays are the oldest possible group for youth national teams as those teams are also BY. Having the RAE benefit from the August-October birthdays on SY teams wasn’t as helpful as those birthdays were younger on the ynt.

Unfortunately for US soccer, success at the ynt age groups doesnt necessarily translate to the senior level. In order to improve the senior teams, we need a better overall soccer culture in the US. Maybe more kids playing because of SY teams will help that. [/quote]

School year is the way to go to reduce trapped players and they probably never should have changed it, but I'm pretty skeptical that declining participation rates in soccer are due to not being aligned with SY. I haven't seen any data that confirms that.

I suspect any declining participation rates are primarily due to this:

1. Pay-to-play, and add in economic downturn cycles and fewer folks can afford it. 
2. Travel requirements - most working families don't have the time. Forget about it for single-parent households. Also adds to costs. 
3. COVID 
4. The rise of Pickleball (kidding!)[/quote]

Just because you haven’t seen or looked for the data doesn’t mean it doesn’t exist. [/quote]

Yes, you could be right. I'm just saying I haven't seen any of this data from US soccer (after deliberating and announcing they'd punt the decision to lower organizations), or from US Club Soccer who announced the change. [/quote]

And then there's this: https://www.forsoccer.com/insight/soccer-participation-in-the-united-states/

Soccer participation rates recently increased 8%. Not a decrease! [/quote]
It's a mixed story. Yes it increased but it's still not at pre-covid levels. And youth sports participation in general has dropped a lot in the last 10-15 years.

https://projectplay.org has some good data and insights about how participation changes as kids get older. 
[/quote]

Insights = opinions.

They lay out some data, and then have some random yahoos that are not data scientists but rando-coaches and administrators “interpret” the data as supporting their long standing opinions.

Project play data is good, the analysis of it is hot garbage.[/quote]

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