Reply to When are NMSF announced?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Last year, TJ had 35.3% of the VA NMSF. This year, they only have 20.6% of the VA NMSF.

It's a huge drop, no matter how people try to spin things.  It should have been obvious to everyone that when you admit kids based on geographic diversity, essays, and experience factors rather than test scores, test scores will drop.  [/quote]

What are the FCPS percentages of VA semifinalists?[/quote]
FCPS (including TJ) had 56.5% of the VA semifinalists last year.  It has 48.6% of the semifinalists this year.  [/quote]

It's not uncommon for a place with such a high percentage to have YoY variation. I'm sure it will be different next year.[/quote]

Sure, there's year over year variation. But nowhere near what we see, because for statistical purposes, these are large enough numbers that you're not going to see them going all over the place.

[/quote]
The point is you can and it happens all the time.[/quote]

No it doesn't.  The chances that this is just normal year over year variation without an underlying cause has a statistical probability of effectively zero[/quote]

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