Reply to Fall 2022 Over/Under-Enrollment at FCPS High Schools

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Expanding high schools during renovations makes perfect sense, logistically and economically.

Better to be prepared with surplus space in as many high schools as possible, than to be caugh in a situation with too many students and not place to logically put them other than a bunch of trailers.

Rezoning should be the last resort.

I hope fcps continues to expand any high school they renovate.[/quote]

Here are the additional high school students FCPS is projecting in different pyramids if current and planned projects are built (only a fraction of these units are included in existing FCPS projections):

Marshall 795
McLean 615
Westfield 597
South Lakes 541
Edison 224
Fairfax 98
Falls Church 88
Lewis 86
West Potomac 73
Mount Vernon 52
Oakton 48
Justice 43
Chantilly 37
Woodson 25
Hayfield 15
South County 11
Annandale 6
Langley 4
Robinson 4
West Springfield 3
Herndon 2
Madison 2
Centreville 1

So in essence they know the county has four main growth areas: (1) Tysons (Marshall, McLean); (2) Herndon/Silver Line (Westfield); (3) Reston (South Lakes); and (4) Route 1/Embark (Edison).

Nevertheless, according to you, if Hayfield came up for a renovation, it would make more sense to spend money adding lots of additional seats there than to pro-actively allocate money to expand capacity in any of these four growth areas.

That seems like slavish adherence to a principle rather than smart planning.  
[/quote]

This is helpful information.

Thank you for sharing.

It looks like Edison, which is 5-6% over capacity is projected to grow by over 200 students.  The simplest fix for the Lewis issue would be to rezone a couple hundred students from Edison to Lewis.

Combine that with the nearly 100 students projected for Lewis.  Lewis will end up with a student enrollment growth of roughly 300 students, which brings that school to roughly 2000 students.  That is full capacity or just over capacity, based solely on projected growth for the neighborhoods along Franconia Road.  Very good news for those worried about the current smaller enrollment of Lewis.  Perhaps this natural ebb and flow of enrollment will sort out that issue in the next few years with natural population shifts.  That looks like a win for the people posting here who are worried that Lewis is too small.

But really, this list and the initial post simply emphasize that all focus right now needs to be on rectifying the desparate overcrowding of McLean.  Any additional bandwidth needs to be on Centerville, Chantilly, South Lakes and Marshall.

All of the other schools need to take a back burner until these high priority issues are addressed.[/quote]

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