Reply to Covid Update from Central Office

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Y'know, I really want my kid in in-person school.  She's vaccinated, we're boosted, the whole family is going to get COVID eventually, and I'm not too worried about us.  What I DON'T want is to watch the slow but accelerating collapse of our educational infrastructure for reasons that were completely predictable and obvious, and it feels like that's what's happening.

Because of an "unexpected" (seriously?) lack of bus drivers, you've got kids who live too far to walk whose shift worker parents couldn't scramble to find a carpool last minute getting - not in-person learning, not virtual learning - nothing.  MCPS dropped the ball and now those kids are getting nothing.  You've got other kids who live with young, unvaccinated siblings or frail, elderly grandparents who are being forced to risk their family's well-being for the privilege of sitting in a cafeteria all day doing asynchronous busy-work.

Meanwhile staffing shortages continue to grow, so we're barreling toward closures and virtual anyway, but in the most chaotic and disruptive way possible.  (The new quarantine guidelines might help, won't be it fun to see if that can outrun [b]the exponential spread[/b] of Omicron before it flames out?  I can't wait!)

I would have taken 2-weeks of virtual to slow the spread over this (although we all know half of y'all would have gone to the Bahamas and ruined it for us anyway).  I would have taken DCPS' test-to-stay program over this - in fact I'd still take it!  Instead we got a terrible "case-by-case assessment" of schools once they reach 5% that backfired spectacularly because it didn't account for the exponential spread of the virus that we all knew was happening.

And now we get, "Oh...don't worry...we're doing something else...we won't tell you exactly what, just that it's definitely not what we were doing yesterday, BOY do we have terrible ideas sometimes, lol!  Also no, we won't release positivity data anymore, because then you'd know how bad our idea was."  I mean...Jesus.  I get wanting in-person.  I want in-person.  But HOW can anyone think this is an acceptable way to run things?[/quote]

[b]The "exponential" spread part is over. It's been leveling out in MoCo and regionally. It'll likely grow [/b](and recede), but it's already ripped through a lot of the public over December. You're not going to get multiple days of "doubling" (or more) on an extended basis.[/quote]

DP. Fingers crossed that you are right. But this also means that we could’ve switched to DL for two weeks and don’t start the paranoid shit about not ever coming back. [/quote]

How is the worst over when Hogan just said that the worst is yet to come [/quote]

Do you have a data to back this up?  I've seen several posts like tbis, nkne with data, and based on current pisitives, it doesn't look like we're done with peak yet.[/quote]

We’re not at or done with peak, but the ‘exponential’ growth is no longer exponential. [/quote]
Again, Data please or  this is hearsay.  I'm under the impressikn that the exponential growth that you are talking about slowed down because holiday travel is over and there are less people needing PCR, there are also more people using rapid tests now or even people who can't get tested because there aren't any rapid tests available, with the weather these past few days, I don't think people with symptoms would want to line up outside for PCR.  All of these are anecdotal, the only reason why I think this is still spreading is because I know more people in my circle now that were infected, which I've never experienced before.[/quote]

Of course it is still spreading. That doesn’t mean it’s spreading exponentially, whereby cases are doubling (or more) every day or two. [/quote]

Ok, so this is also anecdotal.  Got it.[/quote]

Here you go. It's flattened (and was never truly exponential).

https://www.montgomerycountymd.gov/covid19/data/

[/quote]

What exactly flattened? [/quote]

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