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Reply to "Ukrainian victory over Russia is inevitable "
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Ratio of UKR to RUS KIA and tank loss is pretty bad right now. [/quote] I haven't seen any credible info showing Ukraine suffering bigger losses than Russia. Russian troop and artillery losses have been significant. And at this point, Russia is already down to having fewer tanks and other pieces of equipment still functional than Ukraine does. [/quote] please explain how the Ukrainians with hundreds of thousands of men aged 15-60 or thereabouts are now faced with a shortage of manpower after more than a year of intense war? Most of them are dead. Those who aren't have either fled or have connections. Those are catastrophic numbers in a war that has turned into a quagmire of artillery, drones and missile warfare. Suffices to say numbers are propaganda on all sides [/quote] Most of them are dead? That's quite a ridiculous assertion. Ukraine is a country of 43 million. "Most of them are dead" would mean MILLIONS dead. Please, check your propaganda and spin for reality.[/quote] You do mass mobilization of the young and middle aged win you winning bigly!! Press gang of youth means your military full of veterans! NY times say that 20% of Ukraine armor gone and have yet reach 1st line of russian! Bigtime winner. Ukraine about to beat nasty Putin today! [/quote] The Russian military has already cannibalized it's military academies of equipment and seasoned combat personnel, so the Russian candle is burning fast. 20% of Ukraine armor might be gone. Might not. But there will be more. And what will Russia have? Do tell.. Mass mobilization of the young and middle aged? What about those fleeing Russia? Or the Russians that now have to traverse the Ukrainian front lines to return home from vacation? "After the first incident, authorities insisted that ordinary people had nothing to fear: (they claimed) that military dolphins, jellyfish, shrimp, and plankton are guarding the bridge around the clock," “Just yesterday, I was contemplating how foolish one must be to vacation in Crimea right now,” “Well, the trip will certainly be memorable when they return home via the frontlines, while disrupting of our [Russian] military's logistics, absolute fools.” https://www.yahoo.com/news/russians-appalled-suggested-routes-crimea-204200765.html "Russian tourists - more than 9 million of whom visited in 2021" https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-tourists-flee-crimea-after-attack-landmark-bridge-2023-07-17/ Background: In 2022, Turkey used to be the primary go-to beach for 5M Russians. UAE, Abkhaziaand, and Egypt were runners up at around 1M visitors. Thailand, Maldives, Israel, Serbia, Dominican Republic and Sri Lanka were all less than 0.5 M visitors. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1149368/leading-outbound-travel-destinations-russia/#:~:text=In%202022%2C%20Turkey%20was%20the,amounted%20to%20roughly%201.2%20million. However, I'm pretty sure Crimea is one of the only options available for most Russians unable to afford a beach / water vacation or blocked from leaving Russian-influenced territory? February article: "Crackdown on ‘birth tourism’ as pregnant Russians flock to Argentina This article is more than 5 months old" "South American country has seen rise since Ukraine invasion in Russian women arriving to have children and thus gain citizenship" "Some 10,500 pregnant Russians have arrived in the South American country in the past year" “5,800 of them [were] in the last three months, many of them declaring they were in the 33rd or 34th week of pregnancy.” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/feb/10/argentina-pregnant-russians-birth-tourism-crackdown "Russian officials and employees of state-owned companies are increasingly being told to surrender their passports to members of the security services to ensure they cannot flee the country" https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/03/10/russian-officials-face-almost-total-foreign-travel-ban-a80448 How happy will Russians be year, after year, after year? And how will that unhappiness spread? Before, it was the "stans" and the "A's" but it's spreading. "Reactions in Georgia have been mixed after Russia announced it was abolishing visas for Georgian nationals and lifting a ban on direct flights" "Russian President Vladimir Putin on May 10 signed two decrees, one allowing Georgian nationals to enter Russia without visas starting from May 15, unless they are coming to work in Russia for more than 90 days. The second decree lifted a ban on direct flights by Russian airlines to Georgia that Moscow unilaterally imposed in 2019 after a wave of anti-Kremlin protests in Georgia." "Hours after that announcement, Russia's Transport Ministry said Russian airlines would operate seven flights weekly between Moscow and Tbilisi. It said Russia wanted "to facilitate the conditions for communication and contacts." https://www.rferl.org/a/georgia-russia-visas-direct-flights-relations/32407620.html If this action by Russia doesn't make sense, 1. it's a way to put pressure on Georgia, and 2. look at this diagram: https://www.euractiv.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2022/02/Ukraine-airspace-800x450.jpg[/quote]
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