Reply to Ward 2/3 High School proposal in the NW Current

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Reply to "Ward 2/3 High School proposal in the NW Current"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]
The data shows that Deal sent about 50% of its graduating class to Wilson last year, despite being a feeder to Wilson. SWW is one fifth the size of Wilson, but it takes its share of Deal grads.

Which, I think, proves that you cannot just add the Deal and Hardy classes to predict the Wilson class, my original point.

You should discount the Deal class by a factor of 0.5, and the Hardy class by whatever factor, to make a proper estimate.

[/quote]

But what that shows is the vulnerability of Wilson to small swings in popularity.  If Deal goes to 60% Wilson is crushed. The big increase in enrollment at Deal was due more to increase popularity than increased population in the in-boundary schools.[/quote]

[b]If Deal goes to 60% that's 30-40 more students at Wilson. Let's not get carried away. [/b]

[/quote]

No, that's per grade. Deal is 437 per grade. An extra 10% means 43 more students, per grade. That means 160 more students at Wilson, simply because Deal went from 50% to 60% take-up. [/quote]

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