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Reply to "Ukraine war - which side is winning? "
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I think ukraine will be able to stop the offensive and also get some of its lands back. But not the whole lot gained by Russia since February. The conflict will then freeze, Russia trying to keep what it gained and Ukraine trying to bring as much pain and chaos as possible to the newly Russian territories. It will go on for years. I don’t see how any truce is possible right now. [/quote] Russia has taken over territory equal to all of Denmark and Austria combined. Odessa will be fully russian by 2030[/quote] I think ukraine will be able to gain some of it back. Russia is stretched thin. And they will have trouble controlling the new lands [/quote] They have no trouble controlling Crimea, do they. You will note they are quite careful to target only the areas they'd be comfortable holding. Remember Donbass and the east of Ukraine in general was vehemently opposed to Maidan and everything that came in 2014. Odessa too. That's where 40+ people burned alive in a building during protests - something Zelensky promised to investigate but never did. Of course, an unexpected consequence of the Russian invasion was that even pro-Russian areas have turned against Russia somewhat. [/quote] Crimea is controllable yes, and they now need a land “bridge” to it. However the way things are going, it seems like they are trying to bite more than they can chew. The most they are able to keep I would say would be Donetsk and Luhansk in their entirety (regions), as well as swaths of Kherson and Zaporozhie. And it will be dangerous land, everyone in the new administration will need to watch their backs. [/quote]
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