Reply to Who will be Governor of Maryland after Hogan?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I think the SC ruling today helps Franchot big time. No way in hell can MD go to either of the Republicans. People who would've considered Moore are going to strategically vote for the moderate Franchot.[/quote]
This makes no sense. Wes Moore is a centrist candidate. Franchot is actually more liberal. And why would overturning Roe make someone vote more moderate? Or make someone want to vote for an old white guy even?[/quote]

Old white guys get nominated when Democrats are operating from a place of fear.

See: Joe Biden’s 2020 Presidential primary campaign rescued  by strategic black voters in the South.

Franchot is gonna win this, just watch. [/quote]
If you live in Maryland, I am going to guess that you are either new to MD or your life is completely structured around DC.

Roe will have zero impact on the democratic primary and the overturn of Roe does not favor Franchot, who is not running a progressive campaign.

The campaign will 100% be about who’s supporters vote and how many. Franchot has the advantage that he has a lot of name recognition and people have voted for him multiple times in the past. However, despite living in Takoma Park, he has a disadvantage in that he is least popular with people of color and consequently will have a challenge in the high population areas of the state, including Montgomery and PG Counties and Baltimore City. His base is primarily to quintessential Maryland conservative Democratic voter, who is white, drives a big SUV and lives in the suburbs/exurbs. He will undoubtedly win the white areas of the Eastern Shore, Frederick, Howard, Carroll and Anne Arundel. He also has a good chance to pick up a lot of votes in Baltimore County, which is a big county with a lot of people. But will that be enough votes? Maybe, considering that the remaining candidates will split the Montgomery and PG County votes. Combined with Baltimore City, these three jurisdictions have supplied the votes for every Democratic governor nomination since Glendening and it is also where Franchot is weakest.[/quote]

Do you have polling that shows he's the least popular with BIPOC voters?  [/quote]
Do you have polling data that shows that he is popular with Black voters? He has zero relationships with Black lawmakers in the Assembly. None. It’s why he’s pulled Monique Anderson-Walker into the race as Lt. Gov, who is a first term district CM from PG County. The guy is 75 and has been around forever. There are no prominent state Black democrats that lined up with him. He’s spent more time campaigning on the Eastern Shore than Baltimore. Absolute joke to suggest otherwise.[/quote]

TBF there seems to be a theme of picking female Lt. Gov candidates, it just so happens she is black. [/quote]
+1 it’s a huge field and the one (I think?) woman dropped out already, so all the men picked women.[/quote]

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