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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Enough already Elrich.  Your key indicators make no sense.  Time to move to stage 1.  Then shortly after get the summer camps and pools open.[/quote]

Three-day averages of

number of new confirmed cases (14 declining days)
number of new covid-related deaths (14 declining days)
number of covid-related hospitalizations (14 declining days)
number of covid-related ER patients (14 declining days)
number of covid-related ICU hospitalizations (14 declining days)
acute care bed utilization rate <70% (days of adequate capacity)
percentage of ventilators in use <70% (days of adequate capacity)

Which of those indicators don't make sense, in your opinion?[/quote]

Okay, I should have said some of them do not make sense.

New cases - this will increase with increased testing
Deaths - this is a trailing metric and is skewed by care home deaths
Bed utilization - <70% is better than pre-Covid so we have no hope or achieving this[/quote]

When there is increased testing, which there currently isn't, they can adjust it.
Deaths are a lagging indicator, but it's perfectly appropriate to use lagging indicators as part of a set of metrics. Also, nursing-home deaths are deaths.
If 70% is the normal bed utilization rate, it makes sense to include it in the set of metrics. There is no indication that the county is planning to postpone stage 1 until the bed utilization rate goes below 70%.[/quote]

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