Reply to US coronavirus cases top 10,000 and on the same or worse curve than Italy

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]More and more analyses will be coming out. Here is a much more robust and sober statistical analysis than the rudimentary exponential growth formulas that have been presented in this thread.

https://medium.com/six-four-six-nine/evidence-over-hysteria-covid-19-1b767def5894[/quote]
Well, it's true that my analysis is not as robust as paid articles in Medium by viral influencers rather than virologists, but there are better analyses out there that aren't from the media and are from actual experts.

Taken on the merits, that analysis is actually pretty good, but as far as I can tell from the existing data, we have not begun to flatten the curve and we aren't going to in the next two weeks.  Well see.  I stand by my projection for the next two weeks, but I'll let you know if I see any change in the trajectory that improves the situation.[/quote]

Please share these better analyses from the experts. A lot of so called experts have already come out looking silly during this fiasco. Thanks!

His isn’t even A+. Lot of issues pointed out in the comments. But also lots of lame appeals to authority and emotion. His analysis should, however, at least give people pause to start asking questions about this hysteria.[/quote]

Also, it looks like our daily new cases and daily new deaths have started to flatten out. Still early days but great news if the trend continues! [/quote]

San Fran has started to flatten, but it is too early to know if it is meaningful. We really won't know until about April 5th where we stand nationally, and the[b] SPring Break mess in Florida really throws a wrench into anything because Florida didn't fully shut down. [/b]

Currently, the broad numbers suggest the US is on a much worse curve than Italy.[/quote]

https://www2.ljworld.com/news/general-news/2020/mar/21/douglas-county-covid-19-cases-now-at-3-after-tests-of-recent-travelers/

Douglas County’s other confirmed case of COVID-19 was announced Tuesday in a man in his 20s who had recently returned from Florida. That man was tested at a drive-through clinic in Shawnee County, the health department previously said, and he was in isolation but had not been hospitalized as of Tuesday.[/quote]

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