Reply to Move TSP to G for a bit?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The problem is you don’t know when to move back. When timing the market, you have to be right twice - when to get out, and when to get back in.

Assuming you have a long horizon, generally speaking you are better off leaving it where it is. [/quote]The S&P dropped 16% during the March 2025 tarriff tantrum last year. A war like this one seems like a much bigger headwind for markets. So I'm waiting for at least a 10% drop before going back in.[/quote]

I would compare war response to war response. Not to tariffs. The markers  that were affected the most (Asia) already dropped over 10%.the Us is just an echo and they have monetary tools to buffer it. Back in 2022 the change was more permanent as Russia was sanctioned as also a major metals and agricultural exporter to the world. Now it’s primarily temporarily energy resources hike while there was an  excess of oil in tankers on waters and in reserves so it only takes weeks to redirect. I might be wrong but I think it’s more temporarily than tariffs or Russian invasion [/quote]

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